Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000091 0.000096 0.000101 0.000106 0.000112 0.000118
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000085 0.000091 0.000099 0.000107 0.000117 0.000128
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000082 0.000090 0.000100 0.000112 0.000125 0.000142
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000079 0.000088 0.000099 0.000113 0.000129 0.000151
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000075 0.000085 0.000098 0.000113 0.000133 0.000159
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000074 0.000084 0.000098 0.000116 0.000138 0.000171
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000099 0.000119 0.000146 0.000186
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000070 0.000082 0.000097 0.000119 0.000147 0.000192
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000067 0.000079 0.000095 0.000116 0.000146 0.000194
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000065 0.000076 0.000092 0.000115 0.000147 0.000198
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000061 0.000073 0.000089 0.000111 0.000143 0.000195
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000073 0.000089 0.000113 0.000148 0.000207
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090 0.000116 0.000155 0.000224
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000071 0.000089 0.000116 0.000157 0.000233
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000058 0.000071 0.000091 0.000120 0.000166 0.000254
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000090 0.000120 0.000168 0.000265
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000089 0.000120 0.000170 0.000274
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000089 0.000121 0.000176 0.000293
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000090 0.000125 0.000185 0.000319
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000067 0.000088 0.000124 0.000185 0.000327
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000051 0.000065 0.000086 0.000121 0.000182 0.000325
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000084 0.000119 0.000181 0.000329
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000081 0.000115 0.000175 0.000319